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Tackle Today: Fed Announcement Looms

November 2, 2022

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«Prepare accordingly.»


The second-to-last Fed meeting of the year is upon us, and a lot is riding on this one. Here’s what you need to know.

  • The market is banking on a 75 basis rate hike that will take the top end of the Fed Funds rate range to 4%.
  • This will be the fourth straight 75 bps hike. The market hopes it’s the last mega-hike and that future hikes will be smaller.
  • To that end, the highest odds bet is a 50 bps hike in the Dec 14th meeting.

Markets are entering the meeting on a high note. Positive responses during earnings season and the best October for the Dow Jones Industrial Average in a generation have equities trending higher on the daily time frame.

  • Will Jerome Powell point toward a slowdown in rate hikes?
  • Or will he steal the punch bowl, kill the lights, and call the cops?

You only have to wait another few hours for the answer.

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Chart of the Day: December Fed Meeting Odds

December Fed Meeting Odds

Market odds into the meeting are 51.7% for 50 basis point rate hike next month. Watch for how this changes following the Fed statement.

Today’s line up

Traders Lounge 11 AM EST

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The Coaches Show Replay

If you missed last night’s episode where Coach Tyler Craig discussed Trading the Fed Meeting or would like to watch it again, check it out here.

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The Halftime Report starts at 12:30 EST and covers what news is driving the market, chart analysis from the movers and shakers of the day, and fun in a way that only Matt and Tim can deliver.

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Trading Justice 500: Dot-Com Bubble Part 1

Today, Mark and Matt celebrate episode 500 with a trip back to the year 2000 and the start of the Dot-com Bubble bursting. High oil prices, inflation, a hawkish Fed, and high valuations. Sound familiar?

Listen to this episode in the player below.

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