9 Minute Read

Tackle Today: Fed Meeting on Tap

July 27, 2022

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«Prepare for a three-quarter point rate hike.»


The esteemed Fed governors gather today to announce their next interest rate decision. Let’s recap the current environment and market expectations so you have the proper perspective heading into it.

① First, the current target range for the Fed Funds rate is 1.50% to 1.75%.

② Second, as of Tuesday’s close, the market is pricing in a 75% chance that the Fed will hike rates by 75 basis points. That will lift the range to 2.25% – 2.50% (see Chart of the day below).

③ Third, the rate hike has already been discounted in bond yields. To wit, the 2-month T-bill is trading with a yield of 2.35%, and the 3-month T-bill has a yield of 2.55%. Expect the usual amount of volatility surrounding the event. Stock prices sit at a critical juncture, with the S&P 500 testing the top side of the 50-day moving average.

Video Of The Day: How the FED uses economic data to adjust policy

Starting with the unemployment report, Matt begins to talk about how the #fed uses economic data to adjust policy. Sometimes the Fed cherry-picks what they want to look at…

Chart of the Day: CME FedWatch Tool

Chart of the Day: CME FedWatch Tool

No need to fly blind into a Fed announcement. The CME FedWatch tool tells you exactly what’s baked into the market. The Fed rarely defies consensus estimates the day before a meeting.

Today’s line up

Traders Lounge 11 AM EST

Join the coaches in this live lounge, ask questions, discuss ideas or just sit back and listen to veteran traders discuss market conditions.

The Coaches Show Replay

If you missed last night’s episode with Coaches Frank Martin and Gino Poore or would like to watch it again, check it out here.

Halftime Report 12:30 PM EST

The Halftime Report starts at 12:30 EST and covers what news is driving the market, chart analysis from the movers and shakers of the day, and fun in a way that only Matt and Tim can deliver.

Trade Masters 7:00 PM EST

Every Wednesday at 7 PM EST join us on the Trade Masters where two Coaches go head-to-head to see who can find the best trading setup.

Trading Justice Podcast: Each week your hosts guide you on a journey of financial education.

Trading Justice 486: Week of Weeks

In this episode of the Trading Justice Podcast, Coaches Mark & Matt take a journey through the market skyline breaking down the indexes, sector analysis, and a review of the earnings season so far.

The boys also debate when the Fed could pivot from hawkish to dovish and the importance of a Fed pivot.

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