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Tackle Today: The Most Obvious Headline of All-Time

September 1, 2021

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Stocks could fall because of …


Not a day goes by without some market strategist or talking head opining on the risk of a downturn for stocks. “Something wicked this way comes,” they cry.  I started trading in 2006 and have heard such doomsaying since day one. The potential causes are wide and varied but inevitably get recycled. Here’s one such example from Bloomberg last month, “Minerd Says U.S. Stocks Could Plunge 15% in ‘Very Rough’ Autumn.”

Sounds ominous, no?

This sort of forecast might seem bold if you lack a basic knowledge of market history. But you’ll soon learn it’s both an incredibly safe and obvious prediction to make, like betting on warmer weather into the Spring.

To wit: Over the past 40 years, the average intra-year decline is 14.3%, according to J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Yet despite these seemingly scary corrections, stocks have increased in three out of every four years. What’s more, the average annual gains come out to approximately 10%.

Of course stocks could drop 15%! It’s what they do on average every single year.  


Chart of the Day

Zoom Video Communications (ZM)

Lest you’ve forgotten, earnings risk is real. Consider yesterday’s -16.69% sucker punch in ZM stock exhibit “A”. What’s more, Zoom shares are 51% off their peak. This has happened, mind you, while the S&P 500 keeps notching new records. Talk about relative weakness.

Video of the Day

Queen’s Court

In this week’s edition of the Queens Court, the coaches bring separate trading picks for Coach Emily to review including Salesforce, FUBO, and Barrick Gold. Will she accept the trade ideas or will she lop off the coaches heads?

Today’s line up

Traders Lounge 11 AM EST

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Halftime Report 12:30 PM EST

The Halftime Report starts at 12:30 EST and covers what news is driving the market, chart analysis from the movers and shakers of the day and fun in a way that only Matt and Tim can deliver.

Trade Masters 7 PM EST

Join us every Wednesday at 7 PM EST on YouTube as the Coaches go over trade ideas from the Trade Master’s crew!

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