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Tackle Today: Are we in a new commodity supercycle?

February 25, 2021

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The narrative for inflation is heating up.

Traders,

Perhaps the most memorable moment of 2020 was oil prices going negative. Could there be a more appropriate event to signal just how hated commodities became? For a full rundown, go back and revisit the May 2020 Trading Justice Newsletter. Yet, here we are less than one year later, and oil prices have risen over $100 per barrel since last April’s unprecedented -$40 print.

Talk of a new commodity supercycle is making the rounds. Goodbye, depression and deflation talk. Hello, economic boom and inflation. If you want to know where the first inklings of inflation are felt, look no further than the commodities market. Oil, copper, tin, nickel, lumber – you name it. They’re all headed to the moon right now.

In the next few Tackle Today messages, we will expand on this topic. For now, feast your eyes on the chart of the day below. It identifies a dozen catalysts destined to drive the new commodity supercycle. Any one of them is compelling. Together, they create an unassailable argument for higher prices.

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Chart of the Day

Potential Drivers of the Commodity SuperCycle

A dozen reasons why commodities are heading higher.


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