Options Theory: Gold & Volatility Skew | Tackle Trading: The #1 rated trading education platform

Options Theory: Gold & Volatility Skew

gold 2

Gold’s resurrection has been a sight to behold. Some say it was inevitable, and I agree! You don’t have to be a prophet, just a student of history. Every beaten-down asset eventually has its day in the sun.

‘Tis not a matter of if, but when. And the when for precious metals is 2019.

Volatility Skewered

The most popular vehicle for retail traders to play precious metals is GLD and SLV. Both are ETFs that perfectly track the daily movements of gold and silver futures. Both have liquid options which allow for building all sorts of trading strategies.

Today I’m going to teach you about one unique characteristic of GLD options. They carry what’s known as “reverse skew.” As a precursor to diving down that rabbit hole, it helps you understand what normal volatility skew looks like.

Skew is the term used by traders that describes how puts generally trade richer than calls. That is to say, OTM puts are usually more expensive than OTM calls. The reason is that the risk with stocks is to the downside. People panic out of stocks, not into them. Since traders fear crashes, they willingly pay more for OTM puts than they would be willing to pay for OTM calls.

Consider the following example using AAPL stock options:

vol skew AAPL
OTM puts = rising IV. OTM calls = falling IV

I drew an orange box around the IV for the 20 delta put (190 strike) and the 21 delta call (225 strike). Though both have similar deltas, the put trades at a 31.82% IV and the call trades at a 24.50% IV.

So what?

Well, with stock options the skew works to your advantage if you’re selling naked puts or bull puts because you’re able to go further OTM and/or receive more premium. On the other hand, it works against you when selling naked calls or bear calls because you can’t go as far OTM and/or receive less premium.

This is why when you sell an iron condor the put side is usually further away than the call side.

But with GLD options, everything flips on its head.

Reverse Skew

Because gold is a safe haven asset, something that people flee into during times of turmoil (like now), the risk is to the upside. Stocks crash down; gold crashes up.

There is more demand for OTM calls than OTM puts. So, calls trade richer than puts. Take a look at the Oct GLD options chain below:

vol skew GLD
OTM puts =falling IV. OTM calls = rising IV

Here’s the takeaway. Bull put spreads and naked puts on GLD don’t allow you to go as far OTM or receive as much premium as what you’re used to on other stocks. You can still do it, but you have to lower your expectations.

On the flip side, bear call spreads or naked calls in GLD than they are in stocks. Of course, you’d have to have a neutral to bearish bias in GLD before employing such strategies – which is probably not now. But if we reach a point where you do want to bet the sizzling rocket ship fizzles you can go pretty far OTM with bear calls.

Legal Disclaimer

Tackle Trading LLC (“Tackle Trading”) is providing this website and any related materials, including newsletters, blog posts, videos, social media postings and any other communications (collectively, the “Materials”) on an “as-is” basis. This means that although Tackle Trading strives to make the information accurate, thorough and current, neither Tackle Trading nor the author(s) of the Materials or the moderators guarantee or warrant the Materials or accept liability for any damage, loss or expense arising from the use of the Materials, whether based in tort, contract, or otherwise. Tackle Trading is providing the Materials for educational purposes only. We are not providing legal, accounting, or financial advisory services, and this is not a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell any stocks, options, or other financial instruments or investments. Examples that address specific assets, stocks, options or other financial instrument transactions are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to represent specific trades or transactions that we have conducted. In fact, for the purpose of illustration, we may use examples that are different from or contrary to transactions we have conducted or positions we hold. Furthermore, this website and any information or training herein are not intended as a solicitation for any future relationship, business or otherwise, between the users and the moderators. No express or implied warranties are being made with respect to these services and products. By using the Materials, each user agrees to indemnify and hold Tackle Trading harmless from all losses, expenses and costs, including reasonable attorneys’ fees, arising out of or resulting from user’s use of the Materials. In no event shall Tackle Trading or the author(s) or moderators be liable for any direct, special, consequential or incidental damages arising out of or related to the Materials. If this limitation on damages is not enforceable in some states, the total amount of Tackle Trading’s liability to the user or others shall not exceed the amount paid by the user for such Materials.

All investing and trading in the securities market involve a high degree of risk. Any decisions to place trades in the financial markets, including trading in stocks, options or other financial instruments, is a personal decision that should only be made after conducting thorough independent research, including a personal risk and financial assessment, and prior consultation with the user’s investment, legal, tax, and accounting advisers, to determine whether such trading or investment is appropriate for that user.

5 Replies to “Options Theory: Gold & Volatility Skew”

  1. DavidAranda says:

    Didn’t realize before about the volatility skew and the reason why. Thanks Tyler!

    1. Tyler Craig says:

      My pleasure! Thanks for reading.

  2. LarryVelasco says:

    Great article– tahnks

    1. Tyler Craig says:

      You’re welcome, Larry.

  3. ROBERTMCKEE says:

    Aha! Now I know why could never justify bullish put trades on SIL (or SLV). Better for for covered calls then!

Comments are closed.

Share this

X
Facebook
LinkedIn
Reddit
Pinterest
Telegram
WhatsApp

More Insights

Join the #1 Rated Trading Education Platform

Learn to generate monthly cash flow from the financial markets and how to grow long-term lasting wealth. Tackle Trading is an amazing online community for active traders that is led by seasoned market professionals. Tap into the power of Tackle Trading’s proven trading system and learn how easy it is to make money with the proper coaching and education.

8,800+

Members

100+

Reviews

Ready to take your trading to the next level?

Get in touch today and receive a FREE complimentary consultation.

Let us help you start trading!

Our Pro Membership gives you the tools to tackle all your trading obstacles.

Register for the Master Trader Live Workshop and get the First 15 Days on Us

ELEVATE YOUR TRADING SKILLS

Precision Trading

The Art of Options Trading

Holiday Sales

Up to
43%
OFF

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Unfortunately, this offer is now closed. If you still want to take advantage of it, reach out to us at team@tackletrading.com.