Tackle Today: The Oversold Bounce is Here
March 14, 2023
Here’s how to play it.
Traders,
The rubber band effect is in play this morning, with oversold equities snapping back. As expected, the most extended tickers are seeing the largest rebound. Some tortured banks are leaping 50%. Meanwhile, the Russell 2000 is up 3%, and the S&P 500 is up *only* 2%. Here are a few ideas as you think about navigating the rally.
-Since the daily trend of the major indices is down, this rally is suspect. While it may turn into a V-shaped rise that carries us into an uptrend, the higher likelihood is that the strength wanes, and we form a lower pivot high.
-You should be using this jump to your advantage. If you felt overexposed at the lows yesterday, here’s your chance to lighten up by exiting bullish positions you no longer like and/or entering some bears if the bounce fizzles and we roll over.
-If you were brave enough to deploy short-term bullish trades during Monday’s decline, lock in some gains by moving up stops or taking partial profits into strength.
-Above all, resist the urge to chase new longs. The S&P 500 is running headlong into a heap of overhead resistance levels.
Frank’s Charts
Chart of the Day: S&P 500 (SPY)
The rally is robust, but overhead resistance looms threateningly above.
Today’s line up
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