«Strange Price Action to Start the Year»
Coach Mark here.
A touch of volatility to start the year…especially in growth stocks. Well not real volatility but compared to the last two months it can certainly feel like it right? Whenever you get, heaven forbid, two days of downward pressure it can make a trader wonder if it is the start of something more. Especially if one is heavily positioned in the area of the market getting sold off.
Is this the start of something more? Unlikely in the short-term in my opinion. Does the market desperately need a pullback or period of consolidation to work out overbought conditions. Absolutely. Are there reasons to be concerned of something deeper down the road. I would argue one should always keep your eye on that…especially if yields start to rise again. However, the first two days of the year does not feel like the start of the next great bear trend.
There is no panic in the market. You do not see broad selling across the spectrum. You see order in many areas of the markets. You saw defensives hold up yesterday well. You see many quality tech names today (GOOGL, AMZN) holding their own. Many cyclical commodities are doing just fine to start the year. In the trader’s lounge this morning I saw more charts that looked controlled than not. It feels to me like an undoing of much of the froth in the areas of the market than enjoyed huge percentage gains over the last couple months more than anything else.
Things change, economic data over the next week could paint a different picture, but that is my two cents on this pleasant Wednesday.
Dollar
Nice bounce off of the rising 20 daily moving average which is a key trend indicator used by many traders
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