Check Out the Trading Justice Podcast!
Coach Mark here.
Inflationary data takes center stage this week with key readings coming in on Tuesday and Thursday. Bulls have been in control of the narrative for months now (AI, soft landing, accommodative Fed) and have been able to brush off the last couple of inflationary readings that came in on the hot side. Consumer data (CPI) comes in Tuesday and producer data (PPI) comes in on Thursday. In looking at the calendar these are by far the biggest events of the week from a narrative standpoint and fortunately we get the biggest of the two out of the way on Tuesday morning before the market opens.
There are a few other reports this week (retail sales most notably) but outside of inflationary data the biggest story this week will be the price action itself. There was shifting volatility in semiconductors on Friday (something that we have not seen in a while) and we discussed this on the Trading Justice podcast over the weekend. Shifting volatility is an important concept and you can listen to the podcast titled Semi Volatility here.
Will small caps break out? Will gold and Bitcoin continue their surges? Will oil ever make a move? Do we see a little Mag 7 rotation outside of the leaders into the laggards of Apple, Google, and Tesla. Plenty of story lines this week in the price action and we will break it all down in the Halftime Report each day.
Have a fantastic start to your week!
Chart of the Day: Semiconductors (SMH)
Been a minute since we saw a candle that ugly on semiconductors. It will be interesting to see what patterns look like at the end of the week.
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