8 Minute Read

Tackle Today: Best Six Months of the Presidential Cycle

October 25, 2022

By | No Comments

«Cue the Bulls.»

Traders,

Seasonality is a cottage industry in the field of Technical Analysis. And it’s not just viewing asset prices through the lens of the calendar. There are other ways you can slice and dice the data. The Presidential Cycle is one of the more interesting. As the name suggests, it looks at stock market performance each year of a President’s 4-year term.

We’re currently in a Midterm year, and election season will soon be upon us. History has some bullish things to say about our current positioning in the cycle. According to the chart below, November – April of the Midterm year sees the stock market register its best six-month performance of the entire cycle, with an average gain of 15.2%.

Annualized, that’s a whopping 30.4%! Keep this seasonal tailwind in mind as one force supporting buyers over the coming months.


Video Of The Day: Gino’s Gems – Fast way to find trading picks

In today’s Gino’s Gems, Coach Gino Poore teaches a fast way to find trading picks.


Chart of the Day: Best Six Months of Four-Year Presidential Cycle

Chart of the Day: Best Six Months of Four-Year Presidential Cycle (Source: @ryandetrick)
Source: @ryandetrick

Since 1950, stocks have finished higher 18 out of 18 times during the Nov- April time frame in a midterm year. Will this go around make it 19 out of 19?


Tales of a Technician

Disney Call Calendar Spreads

Here’s what you need to know about calendar spreads and strike selection. Risk graphs are a must, and you need to track the delta differential. Watch me analyze various examples on Disney.

Today’s line up

Traders Lounge 11 AM EST

Join the coaches in this live lounge, ask questions, discuss ideas or just sit back and listen to veteran traders discuss market conditions.

The Coaches Show 8:30 PM EST

This is our weekly MasterMind group. Join the coaches tonight, 8:30 PM EST to discuss the markets and help you prepare for the week.

Halftime Report 12:30 PM EST

The Halftime Report starts at 12:30 EST and covers what news is driving the market, chart analysis from the movers and shakers of the day, and fun in a way that only Matt and Tim can deliver.


Tackle Trading: Financial Freedom is a Journey. Sign up now for a 15-day free trial.

Financial freedom is a journey

Sign up now and gain unfettered access to all of the quality content and powerful Scouting Reports that our Pro Members enjoy for 15-days absolutely free with no strings attached and let us show you what your trading has been missing.


Legal Disclaimer

Tackle Trading LLC (“Tackle Trading”) is providing this website and any related materials, including newsletters, blog posts, videos, social media postings and any other communications (collectively, the “Materials”) on an “as-is” basis. This means that although Tackle Trading strives to make the information accurate, thorough and current, neither Tackle Trading nor the author(s) of the Materials or the moderators guarantee or warrant the Materials or accept liability for any damage, loss or expense arising from the use of the Materials, whether based in tort, contract, or otherwise. Tackle Trading is providing the Materials for educational purposes only. We are not providing legal, accounting, or financial advisory services, and this is not a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell any stocks, options, or other financial instruments or investments. Examples that address specific assets, stocks, options or other financial instrument transactions are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to represent specific trades or transactions that we have conducted. In fact, for the purpose of illustration, we may use examples that are different from or contrary to transactions we have conducted or positions we hold. Furthermore, this website and any information or training herein are not intended as a solicitation for any future relationship, business or otherwise, between the users and the moderators. No express or implied warranties are being made with respect to these services and products. By using the Materials, each user agrees to indemnify and hold Tackle Trading harmless from all losses, expenses and costs, including reasonable attorneys’ fees, arising out of or resulting from user’s use of the Materials. In no event shall Tackle Trading or the author(s) or moderators be liable for any direct, special, consequential or incidental damages arising out of or related to the Materials. If this limitation on damages is not enforceable in some states, the total amount of Tackle Trading’s liability to the user or others shall not exceed the amount paid by the user for such Materials.

All investing and trading in the securities market involves a high degree of risk. Any decisions to place trades in the financial markets, including trading in stocks, options or other financial instruments, is a personal decision that should only be made after conducting thorough independent research, including a personal risk and financial assessment, and prior consultation with the user’s investment, legal, tax and accounting advisers, to determine whether such trading or investment is appropriate for that user.

Chart Modal

Tackle Trading

Book a FREE Consultation

Sign up for a free consultation to build your Educational Plan.