Tackle Today: You can’t run, John
August 12, 2019
≈ Everybody runs. ≈
“Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future.”
Niels Bohr —
It is a temptation for us, traders, to predict the future. Some—essentially the ones without rules—are especially inclined to hope the candles will indeed move in the direction they want.
But we are not the Precogs from Philip K. Dick’ ‘Minority Report’. We can’t see the future. It gives us peace of mind in one hand however, on the other, it leaves a blank space that we feel we must occupy. We simply hate the void. That is why we plan the future and (hardly) embrace randomness as part of the process.
AI is coming at us to fill this void. From a state of total inability in predicting the future they will BE the future. They are one step ahead of the Precogs: by being the future themselves, they won’t need to predict it, but just continue their course into materializing it, instantly closing the gap.
Today, investing in the stock market is more unpredictable than letting a ball fall to the floor. Catching it before it hits the ground doesn’t change the fact that it was going to happen in the first place.
But what if robots create the ball, the floor, the gravity and the person who catches it? The set up is perfect, you place the trade, but they conduct the cars now. They can take you back to where you were and make you lose.
If everything they do is going THEIR direction and they all ARE the same future, you become the minority report. You are the alternate future.
This will be like forever walking in the shadows. You better have a plan for that. Sometimes, in order to see the light, you have to risk the dark.
Chart of the Day
Dawn of the dead
(source: Statista)
“When there is no more room in Hell, the dead will walk the Earth.”
Video of the day
Minority Report: Run
I’m sorry, John, but you’re gonna have to run again.
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