Tales of a Technician: Adjustment Trading and the Salvation Syndrome
October 19, 2016
One of the most common ways novice traders cut their teeth learning options is purchasing call and put options. While buying a directional call or put can provide large profits when right, they can be downright painful when wrong. It’s rare to find traders who can rake in consistent profits when buying options is the only weapon in their arsenal. One would certainly have to be adept at forecasting a stock’s price direction; a feat much easier said than done. When attempting the occasional long option trade, I’ve found increased success when using various adjustment techniques. Adjustment thinking helps with adapting to changing market conditions. The two primary objectives of adjusting are locking in gains and reducing or shifting risk.
When entering the realm of adjustment thinking one must be careful to avoid what I call salvation syndrome. This insidious disease often racks up trading costs while compounding losses. It’s primarily characterized by traders who are constantly adjusting losing trades in an attempt to salvage some type of gain. They have a bad case of the fix-its and rather than just exiting when trades go awry and moving to greener pastures, they attempt continual adjustments which often compound their problems. Consider the following example:
Suppose you sell a Nov 55/50 bull put spread on a $60 stock you deem bullish and expect to rise over the coming month. After two weeks of lackluster price action, the stock falls to $55 threatening to breach the higher strike of your put spread. Not wanting to lock in a loss, you decide to roll the put spread down and out to a Dec 50/45 put spread in an effort to make money back if the stock stabilizes or rallies. After making this adjustment, the market gods decide you need a better appreciation of Murphy’s Law and proceed to take the stock lower. As the stock approaches $50, you once again decide to “salvage” the trade by rolling to a Jan 45/40 put spread. Sensing that you’re failing to learn the lesson, the all-powerful market gods once again knock the stock down. Rinse and repeat…
In this example, your adjustments merely served as salt in the wound, insult to injury, a compounding of your losses. Sometimes the best course of action is to simply exit. The tricky part is knowing when an adjustment is warranted and which adjustment to take. That, friends, comes over time as experience and further knowledge are acquired.
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4 Replies to “Tales of a Technician: Adjustment Trading and the Salvation Syndrome”
thank you. for someone who is still learning it is great to hear.
Very Interesting. So its good to learning the difference between salvaging and hedging trades and investments. Thank you.
This is GREAT! That WAS my style of trading. But I have since been disciplined enough to map out a target and a stop for each trade and not move my stop. Cardinal Trading Rule Number One, NEVER MOVE YOUR STOP!! I now let the number of occurrences and statistics work the rest out. Thanks for the post!! TY?
Love the analysis example. Yes I have been known to make these type of adjustments. Thanks for the advice.
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