Overbought
Tales of a Technician: It’s Time for Put Calendars
August 16, 2022
Stocks are overbought and implied vol is low. This strategy capitalizes on both.
Tackle Today: Post-Earnings Plays
September 10, 2021
Earnings season comes four times a year. The heart of these quarterly episodes falls in January, April, July, and October. Some traders despise the uncertainty and heightened volatility, but here’s a tip: figure out a way to use them to your advantage.
Tackle Today: Two Paths to More Profits
September 3, 2021
We all want to make more money. But reaching for faster profits can often result in too much risk and ultimately significant losses. If you think through your options to a bigger payday, you’ll discover there are two paths.
Tackle Today: The Challenge with Single Stock Condors
September 2, 2021
Coach Tyler here with a lesson on Iron Condors. This neutral options strategy is a popular cash flow trade we use primarily on Indexes or broad-market ETFs. We even built a trading system around it (Cash Flow Condors). You can sell condors on individual stocks, but it requires a discriminating eye.
Tackle Today: A Tantalizing Question
August 27, 2021
Yesterday we highlighted the S&P 500’s 20% year-to-date gain. Now for a question.
Which is more common – a down year or the S&P 500 rising 20%?
Keep in mind there’s about a 25% chance of a down year. One out of every four years, the market has declined. Surely a down year is more common than seeing stocks balloon 20%, right?
Tackle Today: The S&P 500 is up Nearly 20% for 2021.
August 26, 2021
n the year, and we still have four more months remaining. Skeptics might argue prices have risen too far too fast. “What goes up must come down,” they say. But is there truth to that? Or should the trend keep trending?
Tackle Today: Sometimes you have to lose money in the short run…
August 20, 2021
Coach Tyler here. As I was analyzing my various positions during this week’s drama, the following phrase came to mind:
“Sometimes you have to lose money in the short run to make money in the long run.”
money. But taking small losses now instead of giving into loss aversion sidesteps larger losses later. When winners inevitably return, their equity curve will tilt back in the right direction, and long-term profits will ensue.
Tackle Today: Bears Strike
August 19, 2021
The stock selloff turned nasty Tuesday afternoon after the Federal Reserve meeting minutes showed members were open to advancing their tapering timeline. The S&P 500 closed down 1.09% and breached the rising 20-day moving average.
Tackle Today: Theory of a Symmetrical Triangle
August 13, 2021
Consolidation patterns come in all shapes and sizes. Flags, retracements, pennants, triangles – you name it. The concept is simple. Stocks are like sprinters. They run, then they rest. Consolidation formations are the resting periods.
Tackle Today: Are You Not Entertained?
August 12, 2021
Coach Tyler here. Today’s title comes from the fantastic film Gladiator starring Russell Crowe as Maximus. The quote came after one of Maximus’ gladiator fights, where he easily bested his opponents. As I surveyed stocks after the bell Wednesday and basked in the glorious rotation into cyclical sectors like XLI, XLB, XLF, and XLB, it was as if the market was asking me, like Maximus of old, “Are you not entertained!?”
Tackle Today: Did Reopening Stocks Just Bottom?
August 6, 2021
There’s a group of economically sensitive stocks that we refer to as “the reopening trade” or “reopening stocks.” They include industries like airlines, cruise lines, and casinos. If you haven’t been paying attention, allow me to bring you up to speed on what’s been happening.
Tackle Today: About that AMD Price Spike
August 5, 2021
Let’s be honest. We all thought the AMD breakout over the magical century mark ($100) could be good. But even the most zealous fanboys wouldn’t have dreamed of a five-day 22% rocketship ride to the moon on jaw-dropping volume.
Tackle Today: Ya Gotta Love that Rotation
July 30, 2021
Mega-cap tech had been leading. The likes of Facebook, Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft ramped into this month’s earnings reports. But this week, they cooled. Only slightly, yes, but cool nonetheless. But did that kill the market? No.
Tackle Today: Top Down Analysis in Action
July 29, 2021
In last night’s Trade Masters, I took spectators on a brief tour of the metals & mining space while showing them how to perform top-down analysis properly.
Tackle Today: Consumers are in Tip-Top Shape
July 23, 2021
We are a consumer-driven economy. When mom and pop are flush with cash, they spend. The spending drives corporate profits and, ultimately, stock prices higher. There are countless methods for measuring how healthy consumers’ balance sheets are. How they’re doing paying bills and other debts is a great one.
Tackle Today: About that 2020 Recession
July 22, 2021
On July 19th, 2021, NBER released a statement declaring that a trough in economic activity occurred in April 2020. The previous peak was February 2020, which means we had a two-month recession. It was the shortest recession in history.
Tackle Today: Want Cheap Stocks? Look Abroad.
July 16, 2021
Many traders focus on U.S. equities to the exclusion of all else. America boasts the biggest companies, the most well-capitalized, and arguably the most regulated. Over the past 13 years, U.S. stocks have been trouncing the rest of the world in their performance.
