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Tales of a Technician: The PERFECT Strategy for Buying Dips and Selling Rips

October 16, 2017

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Want to know which trading adage is as old as time? “Buy low, sell high.” It’s as intuitive as putting on pants in the morning. But as many traders quickly discover, saying the phrase is one thing, but successfully employing it is quite another. Fortunately, there’s an options strategy that does this automatically, without any thinking or meddling on your part.

It’s known by many as a cash flow strategy designed to bank coin from option buyers. It thrives in neutral environments and capitalizes on the perpetual overpricing of options.

It is the Iron Condor, the focus of the Cash Flow Condors Premium System.

And one of its lesser-known qualities is to get you long on dips and short on rips. Such an approach works particularly well during range-bound markets, one where mean reversion rules the roost and trend traders are sad. The reason it doesn’t work in trending markets is that buying a dip that keeps dipping or selling a rip that keeps ripping delivers pain.

It’s buying a dip at the end or selling a rip before it bends that delivers the dough. And that’s much easier to do in when the stock is locked in a range.

Got it?

So how does an Iron Condor do this automatically? The answer lies with its greeks – negative gamma to be specific.

Negative gamma is the force that gets you shorter as prices rise and longer as they fall. And isn’t that what buying the dip and selling the rip is?

  • Buy the dip = get longer as prices fall
  • Sell the rip = get shorter as prices rise

By design, an Iron Condor strategy acquires more positive deltas prices fall and more negative delta as prices rise. This works against you if prices keep trending but for you if they eventually revert to the mean. And isn’t that what you expect if the stock is in a range – that rallies will ultimately come back down and sell-offs will eventually come back up?

  • Buy the dip = get longer as prices fall = acquire more positive delta as prices fall
  • Sell the rip = get shorter as prices rise = acquire more negative delta as prices rise

Let’s look at an example with Costco Wholesale Corporation which currently finds itself in the middle of its trading range. From a price perspective do you see how it would make sense to be a seller of rallies and a buyer of dips here? In other words, would it make sense to get short COST as it rises towards $165 while getting long as it falls towards $150?

An Iron Condor would do all that automatically. Here’s a risk graph of the November $145/$150/$165/$170 Iron Condor. That is, selling the $145/$150 bull put spread and the $165/$170 bear call spread.

Risk graph of the November $145/$150/$165/$170 Iron Condor.

Notice how the trade begins delta neutral (risk graph line is flat). But as the stock price rises, it becomes delta negative (line slopes to bottom right). Alternatively, if the stock price falls, the trade becomes delta positive (line slopes to bottom left).

That is the visual depiction of a negative gamma position.

So what’s the takeaway?

Next time you find a situation where you say, “Gee, I’d like to sell that stock at higher prices or buy it at lower prices!” then an Iron Condor may be worth a look. And if implied volatility is high, that’s a bonus.


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7 Replies to “Tales of a Technician: The PERFECT Strategy for Buying Dips and Selling Rips”

  1. tingpan says:

    have been the “proud owner” of COST for a while. It was painful to watch it crashing after Amazon acquired Wholefoods. Didn’t know how to trade this stock since then. This is a great tip. Thank you Coach!

  2. MARIADIAMOND says:

    Tyler, this is a great article!
    I went to check out COST and see Spread:Vertical Strikes all for 1 DEC 17 but they are all 2.5 wide.
    I remember for RUT IC we do 10 wide each spread. I also remember for RUT IC we would manually increase is to be 10 if there are only 5 wide spreads.

    So my questions here:
    To make it work we need to select CALL and PUT and then increase it manually?
    Is it another rule to have 5 wide spreads on some products for IC ?

  3. Tyler Craig says:

    Tingpan – Glad I could help! Remember, if you own at least 100 shares you can always sell covered calls as a means of partially hedging a stock you own if it breaks support and enters a downtrend.

  4. Tyler Craig says:

    Hi Maria – First off, I suggest sticking with trading monthly options. So don’t trade the 1 DEC 17 options, trade the 15 Dec 17 ones. In TOS the Weeklys show up in yellow. They aren’t as liquid as the monthly ones so I suggest all new traders avoid them until they’re very comfortable with trading normal monthly options.

    For COST I would do a $5-wide spread, yes. And yes, you can do that by manually changing the strikes in the order entry if it’s defaulting to $2.50-wide. The reason we prefer a $5-wide spread in this case is because you won’t have to do as many contracts (save commission) and you’ll probably get a similar ROI as if you had done a $2.50-wide spread anyways. I sometimes will do a more narrow spread than $5, but usually that’s the default for most stocks. For example, sometimes with SPY or TLT I do a $3-wide or $4-wide spread.

  5. JacobAgbor says:

    Im still wadding in “Covered-call waters”… plans to start testing this out in paper by end of year! Great post!!

  6. Tyler Craig says:

    Attaboy Jacob. One step at a time, my friend.

  7. DATNGUYEN says:

    My goal is to paper trade this strategy by the end of the year. Thanks Tyler.

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