Friday Feature: The Scouting Reports Backtest Series Epilogue
October 25, 2019
Last update: August 2021
“[…] It all comes down to mindset. Chipper talked about how it takes a strong will to be able to fail 70% of the time and press on, practicing, playing, and striving to be better without the failures weighing down on you.”
Justin Driskell —
Justin here, back with another Friday Feature.
Last month I finished a three-part series about backtesting. Consider today’s blog an epilogue to that series. Let’s go back to before I started trading, shall we?
It was early 2018 and my wife was getting into photography. It was a hobby of hers that she wanted to make into a business. She caught wind of a business seminar and asked if I would go with her. It was actually at this seminar that I signed up for my three-day workshop with Legacy (but that’s beside the point). What really caught my wife’s attention was that Atlanta Braves legend, Chipper Jones, was going to be a guest speaker there.
If you don’t know who Chipper Jones is, you are definitely not from Atlanta.
Chipper is considered one of the best Major League baseball players in Atlanta Braves franchise history. If you live in Georgia, even if you’ve never watched a single Braves game, you’ve heard of his name. We sat through the seminar listening to multiple speakers give life lessons and motivational speeches. It was Chipper’s turn to come up and it was set up like an interview where someone was doing a Q&A with him. I honestly don’t remember much of what he talked about on stage but one statement he made really stood out for me.
He talked about how his career batting average was .303. This meant that around 3 times out of 10, he got a hit. This also meant that 7 out of 10 times resulted in an out. He talked about how it blew his mind that he could fail 70% of the time during his career but was still honored as one of the best.
Think about that for a minute. A professional athlete fails most of the time. In professional baseball, a batting average over .300 is considered really good. In professional basketball, as long as you make around 50% of your shots, you’re considered good. In hockey, all you got to do is make one out of 10 shots to be considered good. So, what does this have to do with trading?
It all comes down to mindset. Chipper talked about how it takes a strong will to be able to fail 70% of the time and press on, practicing, playing, and striving to be better without the failures weighing down on you.
In my swing trading backtest, an average of only 45-50% of the trades were successful. One of the hardest things for me as a new trader was learning how to fail 50% of the time and keep going without trying to tweak a rule every time a trade got stopped out. You must trust your backtest and trust your system. Professional sports athletes understand what their numbers should be in order to be considered “good”. As a trader, you need to understand what your systems numbers should be as well to determine if it’s “good” too.
So, run your backtest and journal the trades, use the numbers at the top of the Tackle Trading Journal as your baseline of how your system should perform over many trades. Practice until proficient then go live.
TRUST YOUR SYSTEM, traders.
Justin Driskell
Justin started his trading journey during a 3-day workshop with Tim Justice in April of 2018. He has always been interested in the financial markets and the opportunity it potentially provides. He likes trading stocks and options. Outside the markets, he’s a husband, father of two boys, and full-time automotive technician.
Tackle Trading Resources on Backtesting
Why backtesting? What are the benefits? How to run backtesting? How to collect and analyze data? What types of trading systems can I backtest? What are the tools available to run backtests?
These and many other questions have been already answered in our extensive pool of articles on backtesting.
Tales of a Technician: Perfecting Your Process Part One
Traders should be process-oriented, not results-oriented.
Tales of a Technician: Perfecting Your Process Part Deux
Today we continue our carefully crafted tale on how to perfect your process.
Cash Flow Club June 22nd, 2017: Backtesting Trading Systems Part 1
If you missed last night’s show where Coach Tyler Craig talked about Backtesting Trading Systems or you would like to watch it again, check it out here.
Cash Flow Club June 29th, 2017: Backtesting Trading Systems Part 2
If you missed last night’s show where Coach Tyler Craig talked about Backtesting Trading Systems or you would like to watch it again, check it out here.
The Day I Discovered the Wheel: Backtesting
For all of you, who just like me, felt insecure about a certain strategy, and how to apply it, I have one thing to tell you: BACKTESTING!
Options Theory: Baby Got Backtesting Part 1 – Why Backtesting?
I have a confession to make – I never used to backtest, ever. Blame it on my ignorance.
Options Theory: Baby Got Backtesting Part 2 – How to Backtest?
In the first part of our backtesting series, we explored the what and why of the process. Today we get down to brass tacks and talk about how to go about backtesting.
Options Theory: Baby Got Backtesting Part 3 – Backtesting Execution
Welcome to the third and final installment of our series on backtesting. You selected a strategy and systematized it, and now you want to see how it would have performed.
Tackle Today: Back › Forward › Live
Backtest › Forward test › Go Live. The antidote for the risk of ruin.
Friday Feature: The Scouting Reports Backtest Series Part I: Why I started the backtesting
Have you ever wondered how well the Scouting Reports picks actually perform? This is what I am answering with this 3-part series on the Scouting Reports backtesting.
Friday Feature: The Scouting Reports Backtest Series Part II: What I learned from backtesting
Have you ever wondered how well the Scouting Reports picks actually perform? This is what I am answering with this 3-part series on the Scouting Reports backtesting.
Friday Feature: The Scouting Reports Backtest Series Part III: How backtesting shaped my trading
Have you ever wondered how well the Scouting Reports picks actually perform? This is what I am answering with this 3-part series on the Scouting Reports backtesting.
Friday Feature: The Scouting Reports Backtest Series Epilogue
“[…] It all comes down to mindset. Chipper talked about how it takes a strong will to be able to fail 70% of the time and press on, practicing, playing, and striving to be better without the failures weighing down on you.” Trust your system, traders.
Tales of a Technician: Backtesting 50-day Moving Average Signals
Come learn about why the 50-day moving average generates powerful trend reversal signals.
Friday Feature: How the S.T.E.P. System helped me build my rules
I used the information that was in the S.T.E.P. System to refine my trading plan to fit my personality. Continue reading.
Tackle Trading Resources on Journaling
Trading Journals
Good traders keep excellent records. Quality trading journals are essential to your progress and growth as a trader and keeping good records will help you learn more from both your income and expense trades.
Learn more about HOW the Tackle Trading Journals can help you become a professional trader.
Trade Journaling for Beginners [Free Articles]
Continue learning about this powerful trading tool: the Trade Journals. Tackle Trading has all the resources you need to MASTER them like a PRO. From the Trade Journals themselves to free articles and tutorial videos on how to make the most out of them, we got you covered!
How to use the Theta Research Tool to find the best stocks for Cash Flow
In this video tutorial, Coach Matt goes through the latest edition of the Options Research Spreadsheet explaining how to use it to find the best stocks to cash flow.
How to use the Theta Research Journal to find cashflow candidates
In this video tutorial, Coach Tim teaches how to find the best candidates to trade cash flow options strategies using Tackle Trading’s Theta Research Journal.
Tackle 25 List: The Best Stocks for Covered Calls (2016 Edition)
The Tackle 25 2016 Edition is up and better than ever. This list contains the best stocks to cash flow and compound your gains.
Tales of a Technician: Journals, Systems and Discretion
Once upon a time I didn’t use a trade journal. Then I got smart.
Trade Journal Series: How to use the Theta Research to find Covered Call candidates
In this video tutorial, Coach Tim Justice teaches how to find the best candidates to trade the Covered Call options strategy using the Theta Research tool.
Trade Journal Series: How to use the Trade Journal
In this video tutorial, Coach Tim Justice will teach you how to use a powerful trading tool: the Trade Journal.
Tackle 25 List: The Best Stocks for Covered Calls (2017 Edition)
The Tackle 25 2017 Edition is up and better than ever. This list contains the best stocks to cash flow and compound your gains.
The Day I Discovered the Wheel: Backtesting
For all of you, who just like me, felt insecure about a certain strategy, and how to apply it, I have one thing to tell you: BACKTESTING!
Tackle Today: Organization is Key Part 1 – Trading Business
You might’ve asked yourself at a certain point: “How should I start to make this trading activity a business?”
Tackle Today: Organization is Key Part 3 – Trading Journal
A Trading Journal is not something superfluous. It is crucial. Continue reading.
Notes from a Newbie: The Trade Journal is your friend
The trade journal is your friend, use it!
Options Theory: Size Matters
Do you have consistent position sizing and are you tracking your trade stats? If not, then here’s your invitation to start.
Friday Feature: Habits of a Wealthy Trader – Part 2: Journal Your Trades
You need to treat journaling as a fundamental step in your data and behavior analysis to help you succeed.
Tackle Today: Organization is Key Part 2 – Business routine
Like any other business out there, your trading business must have a routine. Continue reading.
Women in Trading – Journaling
Journaling: I know based on my own experience that it is the most dreaded topic when it comes to trading, yet it is an important part of a trader’s journey.
Financial freedom is a journey
Sign up now and gain unfettered access to all of the quality content and powerful Scouting Reports that our Pro Members enjoy for 15-days absolutely free with no strings attached and let us show you what your trading has been missing.
Legal Disclaimer
Tackle Trading LLC (“Tackle Trading”) is providing this website and any related materials, including newsletters, blog posts, videos, social media postings and any other communications (collectively, the “Materials”) on an “as-is” basis. This means that although Tackle Trading strives to make the information accurate, thorough and current, neither Tackle Trading nor the author(s) of the Materials or the moderators guarantee or warrant the Materials or accept liability for any damage, loss or expense arising from the use of the Materials, whether based in tort, contract, or otherwise. Tackle Trading is providing the Materials for educational purposes only. We are not providing legal, accounting, or financial advisory services, and this is not a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell any stocks, options, or other financial instruments or investments. Examples that address specific assets, stocks, options or other financial instrument transactions are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to represent specific trades or transactions that we have conducted. In fact, for the purpose of illustration, we may use examples that are different from or contrary to transactions we have conducted or positions we hold. Furthermore, this website and any information or training herein are not intended as a solicitation for any future relationship, business or otherwise, between the users and the moderators. No express or implied warranties are being made with respect to these services and products. By using the Materials, each user agrees to indemnify and hold Tackle Trading harmless from all losses, expenses and costs, including reasonable attorneys’ fees, arising out of or resulting from user’s use of the Materials. In no event shall Tackle Trading or the author(s) or moderators be liable for any direct, special, consequential or incidental damages arising out of or related to the Materials. If this limitation on damages is not enforceable in some states, the total amount of Tackle Trading’s liability to the user or others shall not exceed the amount paid by the user for such Materials.
All investing and trading in the securities market involves a high degree of risk. Any decisions to place trades in the financial markets, including trading in stocks, options or other financial instruments, is a personal decision that should only be made after conducting thorough independent research, including a personal risk and financial assessment, and prior consultation with the user’s investment, legal, tax and accounting advisers, to determine whether such trading or investment is appropriate for that user.
Thanks Justin Great Point.
Outstanding blog.
Thanks
Thanks Justin!
CHIPPER JONES! he’s awesome! Got to hear him speak last Friday. So many gems from Mr. Hall Of Fame that apply to trading.
YOU ROCK Justin D! Thanks for a great post.
Keep up the great work! Keep swinging!